The Intelligence Report – 11 September 2017

11 Sep 2017

  • Blame it on the dollar – European equities have failed to outperform US equities. We examine why this is the case.
  • European banking: set to shrug off slow revenue growth – Taking a look at the outperformance of European banking stocks this year, drawing some cautiously optimistic conclusions for the future.

An overweight stance towards European equities has become something of a consensus viewpoint for global asset allocators this year, particularly against the US market, where demanding valuations have combined with disappointing economic growth and President Trump’s inability (to date) to implement his agenda of tax reform, infrastructure spending and deregulation. By contrast, economic growth in the Eurozone has surprised to the upside, hopes for structural reform in France have risen, and political risk has, if anything, been positive.

Despite this positive fundamental backdrop, European equities have failed to outperform US equities. Daniel Morris examines why this is the case in the first of our Intelligence Report articles. Our second article also explores another European equity theme, and another popular investor position. Jeroen Knol takes a look at the outperformance of European banking stocks this year, seeking explanations for recent underperformance and drawing some cautiously optimistic conclusions for the future.

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